By Patrick J. Michaels

ISBN-10: 1933995238

ISBN-13: 9781933995236

Is the elements actually getting worse? in terms of worldwide warming, dire predictions appear to be all we see or listen. Climatologists Patrick Michaels and Robert Balling Jr. clarify why the scoop and data we obtain approximately worldwide warming became so apocalyptic. The technological know-how itself has develop into more and more biased, with warnings of maximum effects from international warming turning into the norm. That bias is then communicated in the course of the media, who concentrate on purely severe predictions. The authors compellingly light up the opposite aspect of the tale, the technological know-how we're not being informed. This physique of labor information how the impression of worldwide warming is way much less critical than is mostly believed and much from catastrophic.

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Additional info for Climate of Extremes: Global Warming Science They Don't Want You to Know

Sample text

Records, for several reasons. The United States has maintained an extremely dense and highquality network of thermometers back into the late 19th century. S. temperature history is an accurate one. In 2000, the National Research Council published a report discussing discrepancies between the surface, satellite, and weather balloon records. S. 1) and those sensed by satellites over the United States. Over other parts of the globe, however, there were regions of substantial disagreement between surface and satellite data.

But if the sun gets warmer, so should the stratosphere. In fact, however, there is no record of stratospheric temperature that shows significant recent warming. Both satellite and weather balloon data show stratospheric cooling, but carbon dioxide is only one cause. Changes in stratospheric composition owing to a slight loss of ozone have also contributed to cooling. The ozone loss is hypothesized to have been caused by the breakdown of chlorofluorocarbon (CFC) refrigerants. The ban on these, 19 CLIMATE OF EXTREMES a UN treaty known as the Montreal Protocol, is often cited as an example of successful global environmental regulation.

We’re saying, whatever the cause (though it is probably carbon dioxide), there is a warming trend in the data, and the temperature changes around that trend are best explained by the other three variables. So, to test if the warming trend has indeed ‘‘stopped,’’ we ran our old model, which ended in 1997, and asked it to predict monthly temperature variations from either a continuation of the warming trend already established or a cessation of that trend at the end of 1997. 2. Which model predicted better?

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Climate of Extremes: Global Warming Science They Don't Want You to Know by Patrick J. Michaels

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